Anthropic publishes the program's criteria or its first verified participants.
● OPEN · settles Nov 6, 2026
| Claim made in | Expanding the Cyber Verification Program (anthropic.com) |
| Lab | Anthropic — see the lab's full delivery record |
| Market opened | Oct 7, 2026 |
| Market type | Monthly market (30 days) |
| Calls lock | Nov 5, 2026, 20:00 Beijing time (12:00 UTC) — 24 hours before the check, so nobody can call it with the answer already visible |
| Check time | Nov 6, 2026, 20:00 Beijing time (12:00 UTC) |
| Source of record | anthropic.com |
Background
Anthropic is expanding its Cyber Verification Program, which vets security researchers for access to Claude's cyber capabilities.
This market exists because launch announcements are easy to make and hard to grade. Press releases describe what a lab intends to ship; they rarely come back later to say whether it shipped. Deni AI Labs pulls one checkable sentence out of the coverage — the sentence above — gives it a date, and lets readers price it in public. The story itself stays with its publisher; what lives here is the claim, the crowd's call, and eventually the receipt.
How this claim is judged
The test is the sentence itself, read plainly: “Anthropic publishes the program's criteria or its first verified participants.” If, by the check time, the thing described has publicly happened in the form the sentence describes, the claim is delivered. If the date passes and it has not happened, or the lab has quietly replaced it with something narrower, the claim is busted. If the evidence is genuinely ambiguous — no announcement, no product, no documentation either way — the claim is marked unproven rather than guessed at.
The source of record is the publisher's own page linked above. A claim about a lab's product is judged against that lab's public output — its product pages, documentation, changelogs and official posts — not against rumors or third-party summaries. Only yes-or-no outcomes count: partial credit is not a verdict, and a claim that needs a paragraph of excuses has already answered itself.
How readers called it
4 readers called this claim. 100% said it would deliver.
4 Will deliver · 0 Won't ship
Points reward being right against the crowd. A correct call pays 100 × (1 − the share of readers who agreed with you when you placed it), with a floor of 10: side with a 90% consensus and a win pays 10, stand alone and a win pays up to 100. Wrong calls pay nothing. The price is locked in when the call is placed, so early readers are paid for judging before the crowd forms, not for copying it.
How the odds moved
Share of readers saying “will deliver”: opened at 100%, now at 100%. 5 snapshots on record since Oct 7, 2026 — a snapshot lands whenever a call is placed, and at least hourly while the market is open.
Verdict
No verdict yet. This claim is checked on Nov 6, 2026, 20:00 Beijing time (12:00 UTC) against the source of record below. When the check happens, one of three stamps lands on this page permanently: delivered if the claim came true as stated, busted if it did not, or unproven if the date passes without public evidence either way. Unproven claims pay no points and do not count against any reader's hit rate.
About this market
Deni AI Labs is an AI news front page with a memory. Every story on the homepage carries one claim like this one, with a check date. Readers call claims with points, build a public record, and climb the leaderboard. Labs build a record too: every settled claim lands on the lab's page, where its delivery rate is simple arithmetic that nobody gets to edit afterwards. There is no money in the market — points buy bragging rights only, which keeps the incentives pointed at being right.